26 Jan 13

Chasing a flush on the internet – Sometimes the numbers just don’t add up!

There’s an age old debate in poker – need to you chase a flush? First of all we should define what we imply here by "chasing a flush on the web."

Chasing anything in Hold’em poker could be the practice of gambling to stay in a palm in the hope that you simply will make a much better hand, even even though you might have absolutely nothing at the time. So chasing a flush signifies gambling that you will receive the card or card that you need to total your flush hands within the turn or river. You can not chase a flush before the flop because at that time you only have two cards so the flush isn’t on.

So let us say you are betting one of the massive poker web-sites on the net, you’ve been dealt the Ace and 9 of spades and you’ve paid to see the flop.

The flop is 2s seven-s King of diamonds and one of your competitors comes out wagering strongly with a fair sized raise, what do you do?

1st of all ask your self what variety of palm you are up against. The possibilities are triples, another flush draw, a pair of Kings or a total bluff, so as it stands you happen to be only winning against the bluff with your Ace. About the other palm when you hit a spade in the last two cards you’ve got the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or 4 of a kind.

To the face of it you may well assume that statistically you’ve got about a 50-50 possibility of hitting your spade, after all there’s two cards to come and four suits so there must be about a half possibility, appropriate?

Wrong!

You already have 2 of the spades in your palm and there’s yet another 2 showing around the table, so you know 5 cards and 4 of them are spades. That indicates you’ve got nine spades left obtainable out of the forty seven cards you haven’t seen, which is only a 42 percent likelihood of catching your flush.

In the event you do bet on the turn and do not make your flush, what do you do then? You have possibly now turn out to be pot-committed, you’ve put so a lot into the pot which you may well as properly bet again within the river unless there is a major increase or all-in against you, except now your chances of creating the flush have dropped dramatically to only 21 per-cent.

But what of that other factor, the mysterious web poker syndrome? What I imply by which is despite the fact that you statistically have a 42 per-cent possibility of generating a flush, is that what really occurs in reality? In case you wagered the same hands in the identical web poker table one hundred times would you receive a flush 42 instances? From my personal experience I doubt it. Flushes seem to arrive around lots less typically than forty two out of 100 times!

That is just my own opinion and I’m positive the poker websites would tell you a various story, but the way I see it’s 42 per cent could be the quite Very best you happen to be ever going to acquire and you might effectively have a whole lot less chance than that of hitting your flush.

Bottom line? Chasing a flush on-line is really a really risky system that sucks you in and over commits you, without giving you enough of a chance of pulling out the winning hand.


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